Our Services

Risk Assessment

Whether you are establishing a venture in a new setting or attempting to bolster the competiveness of an existing one, the deployment of personnel and resources involves substantial risk. Gaining an objective understanding of that risk-and how to successfully respond-is a critical test of strategic leadership.

The Soufan Group can assist you in effectively managing risk in a global environment bounded by volatility, uncertainty, complexity, and ambiguity. Our services are based upon a proven three-step process of foreknowledge (employing structured analytic techniques to obtain deep insights into the past, present, and possible), strategic planning (leveraging a unique observe-orient-decide process using exhaustive scenario development to assess probable outcomes), and tactical decision-making (applying the law of requisite variety to ensure you always have more useful solutions than the environment has challenges).

Drawing upon a cadre of experts from a broad array of specialties-global business, intelligence, psychology, special operations, and antiterrorism-The Soufan Group can help you sidestep the two fallacies found in many risk assessment paradigms: First, the process requires far more than searching for seemingly relevant experiences, then applying the lessons learned to the new scenario. Second, simply gathering more data does not automatically lead to better risk assessment.

Our approach incorporates:

  • Developing deep knowledge of the context (including the often overlooked cultural element)
  • Systematic evaluation of near- and long-term risks, including those that can be especially difficult to measure...and thus too often ignored at great cost
  • Designing comprehensive security and safety plans to ensure your personnel and other vital assets are well protected