The Chinese government has a weak capacity to coordinate foreign policy and national security decisions. In an increasingly complex foreign policy environment, this could have far-reaching practical implications both for China and for the global community...
The nuclear talks with Iran have suffered significant setbacks, but they are not dead. The potential remains for a significant narrowing of the differences by the end of 2012, particularly as the full brunt of international sanctions hits Iran beginning July 1, 2012. The sanctions are likely to devastate Iran?s economy to a far greater degree than Tehran has anticipated, thus compelling a greater degree of flexibility in their negotiating posture...
The unprecedented number of simultaneous, yet unrelated crises in the Middle East is inexorably overtaxing the ability of regional heads of state to personally manage the array of peace efforts as they had in the past...
Efforts by the U.S. and NATO to design a long-term stabilization plan for Afghanistan continues to be undermined by Pakistan's unwillingness to open key supply routes that are essential to the expeditious withdrawal of personnel and materiel...
The situation in Egypt has grown even more chaotic than expected based on original - and even recent - predictions by analysts, leaving governments and businesses in the region and across the globe with difficult decisions regarding engagement with, and investment in, the country.