In the past century, physicists have literally made a quantum leap in their understanding of the laws that shape the universe. One of the vitally important concepts - and one of direct relevance to our study of the geopolitical universe - involves the principle of entropy, one that, in its fullness, is deeply complex. We can, however, describe it in fairly simple terms without fear of violating its fundamental essence: everything in nature tends to move from some level of order to a greater level of disorder in isolated systems...
Despite recognizing a new opposition umbrella group, the Obama Administration will not become directly involved militarily in the Syrian conflict. The Administration has concluded, based on its string of significant victories this fall, that the armed rebellion is well on its way to toppling President Assad without US or Western help...
Transnational terrorist groups have sought to gain a foothold in the complex ethnic and sub-national conflicts of East, West, and North Africa. These “small wars” offer fertile ground for jihadists seeking to internationalize local grievances, recruit foot soldiers, and exploit ungoverned — and often disputed — territories as safe havens...
The Scottish phrase, "auld lang syne," can be translated as, "times gone by." In every conventional sense reflecting on such times involves thoughts about what has already occurred. For policymakers wishing to shape plans and strategies for addressing the complexities of today's geopolitical landscape, spending time considering the potential events of the coming year from the perspective of the year's end might prove of considerable value. In today's IntelBrief we offer a model of completing just such a reflective analysis of potential future events...
Iran is working methodically, deliberately, and quietly to increase its influence in Latin America and the Caribbean in an effort to circumvent international sanctions, strengthen its strategic influence, and find new markets for exports and commercial development...